Not about to do math on it, Matt - the only options that matter, really, are 'better place' or 'worse place'. Those are fifty-fifty odds, and probably a lot better than what you're imagining. I haven't seen anything that'd prove Beacon is an intended resting place -- he could have gone to a real one. [Showing her hand, there.]

'Nearly' every day sounds like a reasonable gap to overlook. Specially in a place where there's lots of things he could be doing and people he could be doing them with.